IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sam Houston St.
Southland
2018-19

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.5	#258
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.1	#253
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.8	#279

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.7	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.3%	24.3%	12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	42.4%	66.6%	37.5%
.500 or above in Conference	58.6%	72.8%	55.7%
Conference Champion	6.2%	9.5%	5.5%
Last Place in Conference	5.0%	1.9%	5.7%

First Four	5.7%	6.1%	5.6%
First Round	11.4%	20.2%	9.6%
Second Round	0.5%	1.4%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 16.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0.0 - 0.7	0.0 - 0.7
Quad 1b	0.0 - 0.9	0.1 - 1.7
Quad 2	0.3 - 2.2	0.3 - 3.9
Quad 3	1.7 - 5.0	2.1 - 8.8
Quad 4	10.5 - 6.5	12.6 - 15.4

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2018	141	@ Louisiana Tech	L	65-72	17%
Nov 14, 2018	18	@ Clemson	L	57-76	2%
Nov 16, 2018	80	@ Georgia	L	58-70	9%
Nov 19, 2018	335	Jackson St.	W	66-60	72%
Nov 20, 2018	153	@ East Tennessee St.	L	63-69	20%
Nov 28, 2018	219	Central Michigan	L	69-71	53%
Dec 01, 2018	264	@ Arkansas Little Rock	W	65-64	41%
Dec 08, 2018	180	@ Colorado St.	L	68-73	26%
Dec 18, 2018	325	Alabama St.	W	73-68	75%
Dec 22, 2018	152	@ Utah Valley	L	66-72	21%
Jan 05, 2019	230	Abilene Christian	L	68-69	55%
Jan 09, 2019	303	@ Central Arkansas	W	75-73	48%
Jan 12, 2019	330	Incarnate Word	W	74-68	77%
Jan 16, 2019	309	TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	68-65	70%
Jan 19, 2019	312	@ Houston Baptist	W	77-74	51%
Jan 23, 2019	328	@ Northwestern St.	W	71-65	59%
Jan 26, 2019	227	Lamar	L	67-69	54%
Jan 30, 2019	236	@ SE Louisiana	L	66-67	36%
Feb 02, 2019	105	Stephen F. Austin	L	66-76	30%
Feb 06, 2019	304	McNeese St.	W	73-70	69%
Feb 09, 2019	230	@ Abilene Christian	L	68-69	35%
Feb 13, 2019	309	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	W	68-65	50%
Feb 16, 2019	227	@ Lamar	L	67-69	35%
Feb 20, 2019	263	Nicholls St.	W	74-73	61%
Feb 23, 2019	312	Houston Baptist	W	77-74	70%
Feb 27, 2019	292	@ New Orleans	W	67-65	45%
Mar 06, 2019	303	Central Arkansas	W	75-73	67%
Mar 09, 2019	105	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	66-76	16%
Projected Record						12.6 - 15.4	9.3 - 8.7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southland Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.7	1.5	1.9	1.3	0.5	0.2		6.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.5	3.1	2.5	1.1	0.2				8.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.1	4.1	2.4	0.8	0.1					9.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.4	4.6	2.7	0.6	0.0						10.7	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.9	4.9	3.1	0.4	0.0							10.5	5th
6th								0.1	1.3	4.2	3.1	0.5	0.0	0.0							9.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	4.1	3.2	0.7	0.0									8.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.0	0.6	2.9	4.1	1.0	0.0										8.7	8th
9th					0.0	0.2	2.2	3.5	1.3	0.1											7.4	9th
10th					0.2	1.4	3.1	1.8	0.1												6.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.2	1.3	2.7	1.4	0.4	0.0												5.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.2	1.0	1.6	1.5	0.2	0.0													4.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.4	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.1	0.0														2.9	13th

Total	0.0	0.4	1.1	2.0	3.7	6.0	7.5	9.4	11.1	10.8	11.5	10.6	8.8	6.8	4.8	3.1	1.5	0.5	0.2			Total

Southland Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-2	88.6%	1.3		1.0	0.3	0.0
15-3	62.8%	1.9		1.2	0.7	0.0	0.0
14-4	30.4%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0
13-5	9.7%	0.7		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0
12-6	0.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.2%	6.2		3.6	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.2%		84.5%	84.5%		12.5								0.0		0.0		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-1	0.5%		84.7%	84.7%		13.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
16-2	1.5%		61.6%	61.6%		14.0												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.6
15-3	3.1%		58.6%	58.6%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.4	1.3
14-4	4.8%		46.8%	46.8%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.0	2.6
13-5	6.8%		35.0%	35.0%		15.5														0.0	0.1	0.7	1.5	4.4
12-6	8.8%		25.4%	25.4%		15.8														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.8	6.6
11-7	10.6%		17.2%	17.2%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.7	8.8
10-8	11.5%		8.1%	8.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	0.9	10.6
9-9	10.8%		6.2%	6.2%		16.0																0.0	0.7	10.2
8-10	11.1%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.3	10.8
7-11	9.4%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	9.2
6-12	7.5%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	7.4
5-13	6.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
4-14	3.7%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
3-15	2.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
2-16	1.1%																							1.1
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		14.3%	14.3%	0.0%	15.4								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.6	3.3	8.6	85.7		0.0%